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Anticipating the Climate Change Impacts on Madeira’s Agriculture: The Characterization and Monitoring of a Vine Agrosystem

2022Journal article Open access
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dc.contributor.authorCarvalho, Miguel Â. A. Pinheiro de
dc.contributor.authorRagonezi, Carla
dc.contributor.authorOliveira, Maria Cristina O.
dc.contributor.authorReis, Fábio
dc.contributor.authorMacedo, Fabrício Lopes
dc.contributor.authorFreitas, José G. R. de
dc.contributor.authorNóbrega, Humberto
dc.contributor.authorGanança, José Filipe T.
dc.date.accessioned2022-09-26T09:44:31Z
dc.date.available2022-09-26T09:44:31Z
dc.date.issued2022
dc.description.abstractClimate—Madeira Strategy (CMS) foresees two models to describe the climate scenarios for the Madeira region in 2050 and 2070. These scenarios anticipate an average temperature rise of 1.4 to 3.7 ◦C and a decrease in precipitation by 30 to 40%. Consequently, Madeira’s agriculture will suffer the impacts of climate change. To understand these impacts, a baseline of major agrosystem components needs to be established, with the ultimate goal to monitor its consequences in its functioning. CASBio project used the 1961–1991 and 2010–2020 meteorological data series to modulate climate conditions and characterize and monitor six agrosystems for 2 years. One of them was a vineyard, Quinta das Vinhas, representing a typical agrosystem in the Mediterranean climate. The annual and seasonal variation in climatic parameters, soil conditions, microbiological communities, floristic and insect diversity, and crop production was assessed, using a total of 50 parameters. The results were used to establish a baseline of the agrosystem components and their seasonal and annual variation. The major findings are: (i) winter and summer extreme events show a trend in temperature and precipitation supporting a fast change in climate; (ii) a critical imbalance between nitrogen fixing and denitrifying bacteria was identified, especially in summer, that could be determined by the rise in temperature and drought; (iii) among floristic diversity, the therophytes and geophytes confirm to be the most suitable indicators for the rise in temperature and reduction in precipitation in the agrosystems; (iv) an imbalance in favor of C. capitata plague was observed, associated with the summer rise in temperature and decrease in precipitation; (v) despite an increase in most of the grape varieties production, the Madeiran wine local varieties were shown to be less stable in productivity under observed climate conditions. The agrosystem baseline is a starting point for long term monitoring and allows for further quantifying the influence of climate change on agrosystem productivity, resilience, and sustainability.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationCarvalho, M.Â.A P.; Ragonezi, C.; Oliveira, M.C.O.; Reis, F.; Macedo, F.L.; de Freitas, J.G.R.; Nóbrega, H.; Ganança, J.F.T. Anticipating the Climate Change Impacts on Madeira’s Agriculture: The Characterization and Monitoring of a Vine Agrosystem. Agronomy 2022, 12, 2201. https://doi.org/ 10.3390/agronomy12092201pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/agronomy12092201pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.13/4651
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherMDPIpt_PT
dc.relationCentre for the Research and Technology of Agro-Environmental and Biological Sciences
dc.relationCentre for the Research and Technology of Agro-Environmental and Biological Sciences
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectModelpt_PT
dc.subjectAgrosystem indicatorspt_PT
dc.subjectProductivitypt_PT
dc.subjectSustainabilitypt_PT
dc.subjectAgrodiversitypt_PT
dc.subject.pt_PT
dc.subjectFaculdade de Ciências da Vidapt_PT
dc.titleAnticipating the Climate Change Impacts on Madeira’s Agriculture: The Characterization and Monitoring of a Vine Agrosystempt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleCentre for the Research and Technology of Agro-Environmental and Biological Sciences
oaire.awardTitleCentre for the Research and Technology of Agro-Environmental and Biological Sciences
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F04033%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDP%2F04033%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.issue9pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage2201pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleAgronomypt_PT
oaire.citation.volume12pt_PT
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
person.familyNameAlmeida Pinheiro de Carvalho
person.familyNameRagonezi
person.familyNameOliveira
person.familyNameMacedo
person.familyNameNóbrega
person.familyNameGanança
person.givenNameMiguel Angelo
person.givenNameCarla
person.givenNameCristina
person.givenNameFabrício Lopes de
person.givenNameHumberto
person.givenNameJosé Filipe
person.identifier1218558
person.identifier2439118
person.identifier.ciencia-id4610-6741-6816
person.identifier.ciencia-idFC12-D3F0-EF3D
person.identifier.ciencia-idBD1F-4778-60D1
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-5084-870X
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-1822-5473
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-3859-6412
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8025-6422
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-8900-9340
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8384-6188
person.identifier.ridAEE-0913-2022
person.identifier.scopus-author-id8758577600
person.identifier.scopus-author-id36460033800
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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